English Summary: Most experts and analysts cited in the media expected that the fast-paced appreciation of the CHF in January 2015 would push the Swiss economy into a recession. However, the results of our comprehensive analysis on the Swiss economy published in three parts in January 2015, too, came to the conclusion that the Swiss economy will not suffer too much under the higher value of the CHF. The statistics on gross domestic product have confirmed that (see also here, here and most recently here). The weakness of the Swiss economy has rather domestic reasons as we have scrutinised and explained. On the 9th August, the State Secretariat For Economic Affairs (SECO) of Switzerland has published the data on the labour market in July 2016. We calculate on the basis of the labour data every month the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts and give an estimate on the business cycle in Switzerland.
Tag Archiv für Juli
Konjunktur, Schweiz: Die Spannungszahl Juli 2016 und eine Einschätzung der Konjunktur in der Schweiz
Konjunktur, USA: Die Spannungszahl Juli 2016 und eine Einschätzung der US-Konjunktur
English Summary: WuG regularly analyses the business cycle so far for Germany, France, the European Monetary Union as a whole, the United States and Switzerland on the basis of the monthly data of the labour market (unemployment=supply of labour; job openings=demand of labour). Out of this we calculate the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts. The result needs then careful interpretation and allows a very early and reliable estimation of the business cycle.
Konjunktur/Deutschland/Ost- und Westdeutschland: Die Spannungszahl Juli 2016 und eine Einschätzung der Konjunktur in Deutschland
English Summary: WuG regularly analyses the business cycle so far for Germany, France, the European Monetary Union as a whole, United States and Switzerland on the basis of the monthly data of the labour market (unemployment=supply of labour; job openings=demand of labour). Out of this we calculate the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts. The result needs then careful interpretation and allows a very early and reliable estimation of the business cycle. So far this analysis is only published in German language under subscription.
Auszug aus dem Newsletter Juli 2016 – Was ist Glück?
Guten Morgen, liebe Abonnentinnen und Abonnenten,
Seit 1. März 2013 gibt es Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft im Abonnement – bisher im Juli 2016 bereits im Abonnement erschienen…
(wird fortlaufend aktualisiert, aktuellster Beitrag unten)
Brexit: Die Wechselkursentwicklung – überschätzt und unterschätzt
WuG Statistics/WuG Statistik: Impressive readership / Beeindruckende Leserschaft
In July and August each month roughly 60.000 readers visited this journal (each domain counted only one time per day). In July far above 300.000 pageviews, in August close to 400.000. Imagine, if all of them would subscribe! But the figure of subscribers is increasing, too, though very slowly. The fidelity of subscribers, however, is very impressive. Apart from only a very few people all who have subscribed this journal are still subscribing. Thank you so much! Thus, things are moving in the right direction. This journal is only financed by subscribers. A subscription costs 10 Euro per month. Yearly subscriptions are also welcome. For subscribers with a very low income a subscription for 5 Euro is offered.
Konjunktur/Frankreich/Spannungszahl: Die Spannungszahl Juli und eine Einschätzung der französischen Konjunktur
English Summary: WuG regularly analyses the business cycle so far for Germany, France, United States and Switzerland on the basis of the monthly data of the labour market (unemployment=supply of labour; job openings=demand of labour). Out of this we calculate the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts. The result needs then careful interpretation and allows a very early and reliable estimation of the business cycle. So far this analysis is only published in German language under subscription.
