English Summary: WuG regularly analyses the business cycle so far for Germany, France, the European Monetary Union as a whole, the United States and Switzerland on the basis of the monthly data of the labour market (unemployment=supply of labour; job openings=demand of labour). Out of this we calculate the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts. The result needs then careful interpretation and allows a very early and reliable estimation of the business cycle.
Tag Archiv für Schweiz
Konjunktur, Schweiz: Die Spannungszahl Dezember 2016 und eine Einschätzung der Konjunktur in der Schweiz
English Summary: WuG regularly analyses the business cycle so far for Germany, France, the European Monetary Union as a whole, the United States and Switzerland on the basis of the monthly data of the labour market (unemployment=supply of labour; job openings=demand of labour). Out of this we calculate the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts. The result needs then careful interpretation and allows a very early and reliable estimation of the business cycle.
Konjunktur, Schweiz: Die Spannungszahl November 2016 und eine Einschätzung der Konjunktur in der Schweiz
English Summary: WuG regularly analyses the business cycle so far for Germany, France, the European Monetary Union as a whole, the United States and Switzerland on the basis of the monthly data of the labour market (unemployment=supply of labour; job openings=demand of labour). Out of this we calculate the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts. The result needs then careful interpretation and allows a very early and reliable estimation of the business cycle.
Konjunktur, Schweiz: Die Spannungszahl Oktober 2016 und eine Einschätzung der Konjunktur in der Schweiz
English Summary: Most experts and analysts cited in the media expected that the fast-paced appreciation of the CHF in January 2015 would push the Swiss economy into a recession. However, the results of our comprehensive analysis on the Swiss economy published in three parts in January 2015, too, came to the conclusion that the Swiss economy will not suffer too much under the higher value of the CHF. The statistics on gross domestic product have confirmed that (see also here, here, here, here and now, most recently, here). The weakness of the Swiss economy has rather domestic reasons as we have scrutinised and explained. On the 8th October, the State Secretariat For Economic Affairs (SECO) of Switzerland has published the data on the labour market in October 2016. We calculate on the basis of the labour data every month the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts and give an estimate on the business cycle in Switzerland.
Konjunktur, Schweiz: Die Spannungszahl September 2016 und eine Einschätzung der Konjunktur in der Schweiz
English Summary: Most experts and analysts cited in the media expected that the fast-paced appreciation of the CHF in January 2015 would push the Swiss economy into a recession. However, the results of our comprehensive analysis on the Swiss economy published in three parts in January 2015, too, came to the conclusion that the Swiss economy will not suffer too much under the higher value of the CHF. The statistics on gross domestic product have confirmed that (see also here, here, here, here and now, most recently, here). The weakness of the Swiss economy has rather domestic reasons as we have scrutinised and explained. On the 10th October, the State Secretariat For Economic Affairs (SECO) of Switzerland has published the data on the labour market in September 2016. We calculate on the basis of the labour data every month the economic activity indicator developed by Claus Köhler, former member of the German Council of Economic Experts and give an estimate on the business cycle in Switzerland.
